Warning to GOP: Embrace Tea Baggers Or Die
Tuesday, December 8, 2009 at 10:39AM
Now, I am not one to think that Rasmussen is the most neutral of polling outlets. In my opinion, they skew things to the right to drive their agenda and when it is not working, they actually release honest results. They took forever last year to finally show their polls breaking to Obama, when it was clear, well to me at least, that Obama was going to win comfortably.
Anyway, a recent Rasmussen poll showed the fictious Tea Bagger Party beating the Republican Party in a generic three way ballot (with the Democratic Party winning). Generic Party polls are ridiculous because you vote for an individual, not a party. But, why does that matter.
Still, the American Family Association takes the polling data as an opportunity to warn the Republican Party:
This spells major trouble for the Republican party
In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP.
Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.
The GOP might top the Democrats in a two party ballot, but throw a hypothetical TEA party into the mix and the Republicans fall to last place.
The scariest thing about this poll for a Republican loyalist is the fact that close to the same number of Republicans say that they would vote for a TEA party candidate over a Republican candidate. Independents also shun the GOP with only 12% saying that they prefer the GOP over the Democrats or TEA party.
Note to the RNC: embrace conservatives or die.
Did the Tea Baggers not learn anything from the Scozzafava race? Do they actually learn anything at all? What the poll does not tell you is how many Republican would abandon the party if the party nominates a Tea Bagger as its candidate? And there are those people out there who will continue to leave the Republican Party as it embraces its crazies. Ask Doug Hoffman how well Tea Bagger support did for him as the Democrats won that congressional district for the first time in over a 100 years.
Nothing would give Obama and Democrats more pleasure than the Republicans embracing their inner-Tea Bagger. It would be political suicide for the party. But, as long as you have Tea Baggers and "conservatives", who do not know how to read and to understand biased polls, pushing polling data to prove their supposed strength (but no majority) and you have weak-kneed Republicans running the show, the party will remain in a minority for years to come.
Oh, please please embrace the Tea Baggers.
Bias,
Faulty Arugment,
Polling,
Tea Baggers 


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